Dissidentpress

May 13, 2009

Correction of the German population balance

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Correction of the German population balance

In the Federal Republic of Germany Population, ultimo year 2007: 82,217,800

Of these, following the official number of immigrants: 7,257,000 (8.83%)

Number of naturalizations for the period 1980-2007 is officially: 3,814,730 (4.64%)

27

Σ N (x) * (1 + r) ^ x, where N (x) is the number of naturalizations in each year, r is the average net growth rate by birth a year of the naturalized with effect from the year of naturalization, x varies 0 to 27

x = 0

The expected number of children after the naturalization (1980-2007): 2,076,058 (2.53%)

Results: 13,147,788 are migrants or descent from migrants (16%) ,

and 69,070,012 Germans in Germany.

This leads to approximately 20% of the birthgiving women are immigrants, and the following equilibrium applies:

0.20 * 3.5 + 0.80 * x = 1.37, where x is

Fertilty of the German women, on average 0.85 children,

if the fertility of migrants in the average is 3.5 children and the general fertility in Germany was 1.37 on average in 2007.

Assume migration continues at the 2007-level with 43.912 plus 156.942 naturalization a year and the growth-rate by foreign births of 4% a year: PV=13,147,788   PMT=200,854   i=4%   n=30:  FV=51,445,585

Projection of the number immigrants and their descendants, year 2037: 51,445,585

With German fertility at 0.85 you face a negative rate of -0.97% a year: 69,070,012*(1-0.0097)^30 = 51,557,625

Projection of the Germans, year 2037: 51,557,625

The biggest group, muslims then take over 13 years later. Compare with the video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-3X5hIFXYU

Sonia

May 10, 2009

Number of granted citizenships in UK 1997-2007 – and a correction of the number of immigrants

Number of British citizenships in an 11 years period

1997-2007 – including a correction of the number of

foreign immigrants

Kilde : http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs08/hosb0508.pdf

Number of granted British citizenship a year 1997-2007:

image001

In the period 1997 to 2007 1,197,640 british citizenships were granted – with 7-11 percent refusials of applications behind.

Most of the approved applicants had the latest earlier citizenship in Asia, Africa and the Middle East. This means we have to account with a growth rate of 4% a year caused by the births among the naturalized in UK.

Alone thoss 11 years’ of granting British citizenship has lead to a population increase of British citizens of 1,397,640 who are counted as british citizens, even though the fertility and other culture are most different from that of the Brits – fertility 3 times higher.

In 2004 the Non-British were official estimated to 8.9 percent of the population, in 2007 this share rose to 10.7 percent, compare with: http://danmark.wordpress.com/2009/05/08/the-united-kingdom-will-have-17-7-mio-more-within-the-next-25-years-det-forenede-kongerige-opererer-fortsat-med-gigantisk-indvandring-i-sine-planer/

This increase will not surprise when you have realized that the total population growth come entirely from an explosive growing immigration, births among the foreign citizens, and in addition the births by the naturalized and their children. The British births do not replace the number of deads and emigrated Brits, the number British births is 43 percent too small. 

This implies that 5.090 million foreigners have to added to the number of children and grandchildren born by naturalised in UK, and we maintain that the number then is more than doubled, if all naturalized children are incounted. Then the share of foreigners is 11-12 millions of totally 61 millions in 2009 – 18-20 percent

Our estimate is totally safe after we have analysed the development of immigration to Denmark and the development of granting of citizenships in Denmark in the period 1979-2006: http://www.lilliput-information.com/uscan.html

Just the 11 years period 1997-2007 in UK add up til 1,397,640 that have to be added to the 5,090,000 Non-UK born foreigners. The longer a period that is corrected the more children have to be added.

Earlier citizenship among the naturalized in 2007:

image002

Please listen and see (and imagine it even worse) :

http://danmark.wordpress.com/2009/05/05/europaeerne-rendes-over-ende-med-stoerste-hast-amerikansk-dokument/

 

Sonia

May 9, 2009

We have too many Chamberlains and too few Churchills in power in a lot of European countries

We have too many Chamberlains and too few Churchills in power in a lot of European countries, say Gert Wilders, Holland.

We have no reservations at all:
We have just Chamberlains and no Churchills in the apparent positions of power in Europe. This means that the elite of Europe scorn those they ultimatively are depending of. In their belief or faith of a totalitarian ideology it shall in its own self-glorification lose all with this command or phrase on its lips in the end:

DO WHAT I SAY, BUT DONT DO WHAT I DO.

Sonia

May 8, 2009

The United Kingdom will have 17.7 mio more within the next 25 years

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The United Kingdom

According to: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/hub/population/migration/international-migration/index.html

tim19912007graph1_tcm119-23658

UK for the period 2004 to 2007.
The size of the UK born population has remained constant throughout the
four year period at around 54 million. In contrast, the non-UK population
has increased from an estimated 5.2 million in 2004 to 6.3 million in
2007, an increase of 21 per cent. In 2004, an estimated 8.9 per cent of
the total population was non-UK born; by 2007 this had increased to

10.6 per cent.

UK for the period 2004 to 2007

UK for the period 2004 to 2007
The size of the UK born population has remained constant throughout the four year period at around 54 million. In contrast, the non-UK population has increased from an estimated 5.2 million in 2004 to 6.3 million in 2007, an increase of 21 per cent. In 2004, an estimated 8.9 per cent of the total population was non-UK born; by 2007 this had increased to 10.6 per cent. Irish and immigrants from the old EU-countries amounted to 1.252 in 2007. This means 5.090 million foreigners. In addition comes the UK born as children and grandchildren of naturalized foreign parents.
Compared with Danish relations the total number of foreigners in UK is 11-12 millions of the entire population of about 61 millioner – i.e. 18-20 percent.

Remember Austria, An Excerpt: “…Max Planck Intitute for Demographic Research reports officially that Austria had 16.6% non-Austrians in the country ultimo 2004. Those non-Austrians do not include naturalized who are born by immigrants in Austria and not grandchildren of immigrants either. This implies that 16.6% has to be even higher, if we intend to count the percentage of inhabitants of foreign origine in Austria…”

18-20 percent in UK also fit the check of births-shares and fertilities:

3.5*x + 1.2*(1-x) =1.87, implies x, the share of ethnic foreign births = 29 percent

Compare with what the media find is fit for you to know

Daily Express – 8.6. 2007: 1,5 million muslims’ ??

Another source: The Muslim population in Britain has grown by more than 500,000 to 2.4 million in just four years, according to official research collated forThe Times. The population multiplied 10 times faster than the rest of society, the research by the Office for National Statistics reveals. In the same period the number of Christians in the country fell by more than 2 million (??).

According to: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/hub/population/population-change/population-projections/index.html

graph1_tcm119-29018

Source: National population projections and much more details

With a general or total fertility of 1.87 children per woman (and not 2.1) one would expect a decrease of the population by almost 11% for the projected period of 25 years. But the official expectation points at an increase of 18% instead. All in all a difference of about 29% of the population. This implies that 17.7 mill. more is expected to immigrate to The United Kingdom (at 61 mio. in 2007) within the next 25 years if fertility is assume constant.

The patterns are the same as here, ‘but painted with an eleven times smaller brush’. More foreign immigrants contribute tremendously to the rise in fertility.

The British do not.

But total fertility is not expected to be constant. Total fertility is the weighed average of ethnic fertilities with populations shares as weights .

graph1_tcm119-23935

Source: Office for National Statistics and more details

This means births or immigration implying the same results, and patterns of culture included fertility are much like here.

If you want to read a piece by piece distribution of ethnicity (the closest you get) it is partly possible here (take a very big breath before you click on the link and go to page 34)

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_population/Population_trends_135.pdf (page 34)

Sonia

May 5, 2009

Europe comes to an end sooner than you perhaps think

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This video illustrate briefly where the

Europeans stands

It can’t be underlined too often:  All fertilities refered to in this video and almost elsewhere are total fertilities that are the weighted  average of the fertilities the ethnic groups in nation that is focused on. This implies that the dismantling run much quicker that also this video shows – 30-40 percent quicker. (Read the Austrian example linked to below):

When you hear fertility 8 in Türkei it is not quite right, if it does not mean that there are born 8 time more children relatively. More young and younger birthgiving women and more children each. In the third world 10 times more births relatively compared with the number of inhabitants is rather common. It is the birth-frequency, not the fertility.

Deciding complement:

https://dissidentpress.wordpress.com/2009/04/16/predictability-and-responsibility-ruthless-optimism-and-blind-self-sacrifice/

Austrian women and Max Planck Institute for Demographics – brief version:

https://dissidentpress.wordpress.com/2009/04/18/austrian-women-persistent-low-fertility-since-1980s/

Sonia

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